Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts

02 March, 2020

Voting Rights: A Modest Proposal

You don’t have the right to vote. Should you?
 
Americans like to talk in the language of rights: the right to life, the right to self-defense, the right to privacy. Some of these things are spelled out in the Constitution. Some of them are not. They are considered human rights: they come from our nature as human beings.

Voting is not a human right. Voting is a civic right.

A civic right comes from being a member of a political community. If you want to vote in America, you need to be recognized as an American. In particular, you have to be recognized as a real American.But who decides who is a real American? What is the rule one applies to determine if someone is American? These are the questions, usually unspoken, that lie behind many of the debates in contemporary politics. If you want to “Make America Great Again” you probably have a different idea of what an American looks like than someone who is an activist for the voting rights of the poor, the foreign-born, the non-Christian, or the non-White. This doesn’t mean that a MAGA voter, or a Trump supporter, is racist, or a misanthrope, or a xenophobe. He is, however, more likely than other voters to be a nationalist. He is more concerned about election fraud. He is more likely to believe things as they are today are “pretty good,” or “as good as they can be.” He is more likely to think that things were better twenty years ago, or fifty years ago.
There’s a reason, beyond simple self-interest, why the Republican Party is more associated with legislation for voter ID, or to keep felons who served their time off the voter registration rolls, or to make the lines longer at polling stations in districts that are predominantly poor or non-White. They have a more restrictive idea of what it means to be an American.

America, they tell us, is a “nation-state.” It has a “culture,” and not everyone living here is a member of that culture. And there’s some truth to that. For a political community to function there have to be some kind of common understanding and expectations. Cultures, including political cultures, are hard to define, but clearly they differ from place to place, and they can change over time. In some places, corruption is expected. In others, it is virtually nonexistent. In some places, it is expected that the dictator will rule through violence and fear. People will disappear, never to be seen again, and no one expects the perpetrator will be brought to justice. You may not like it — you may hate it — but things are what they are, what they have always been, what they will always be. Cultural differences show up in tourism, in transnational trade, and in international relations. It’s a thousand little things. In a study of diplomatic immunity among UN delegations, for example, it was found that Norwegian diplomats always obeyed the parking regulations in and around the congested streets around the UN building. This is despite the fact that, as diplomats, they could never be punished for breaking the law. As a practical matter, they couldn’t be retaliated against in any way. Even native New Yorkers, who can be punished, don’t come near that standard. You drive in New York long enough, and you’ll get a parking ticket. It’s understood. But Nigerian diplomats, who are placed under the same moral and legal restrictions as the Norwegians, are notorious for flaunting the law. They double and triple-park. They park in loading zones. They block intersections. They park on the sidewalk. Same conditions, different cultures. Norwegians respect the law, even when they can’t be held to account, and unless they take a moment to think it through they expect others to do the same. Nigerians, in general, don’t have a lot of respect for the law. At most, it’s a problem for the little people — not for an ambassador. And if you can get away with it you’d be stupid not to break the law. The same is true within these different countries as well as in front of the UN. Transnational corporations quickly learn that if they hire a local firm in Nigeria to protect their property that firm will soon start to steal from them. There will probably be less taken than if the company had left the gates unlocked (the guards don’t want to be denied a lucrative gig because they got too greedy), but the losses will begin, and they will grow. If you want to protect your property, bring in Norwegians to guard it. And rotate them back to Norway, on a regular schedule, to reduce the likelihood that the guards will eventually come to imitate the locals.

There are variations in culture, and these variations are reflected in politics. It makes sense to protect a culture that supports American politics. But what is that culture? When pressed, some defenders of American culture will find it hard to define what it is they want to protect. Some can define it, but in ways that are too excludsive. Some want to defend “Western civilization.” Some are convinced America was founded on “Judeo-Christian” values (it wasn’t) and law must be rooted in their particular interpretation of the Bible. Some on the alt-Right will go so far as to argue that to be a “real American” one has to be white, and that whites have a moral and practical obligation to keep their blood “pure,” even to the point of deporting (or building walls to block) people of color. Most won’t go that far, but they’ll will reiterate that America is a “nation-state” and a threat to the “nation” is a threat to the viability and stability of America.

They’re wrong. They are wrong for the same reason southern whites were wrong to want to limit the rights of blacks, the same reason the “know-nothings” of the nineteenth century were wrong to oppose immigration from Ireland and Italy and Germany, the conservatives of 1960 were wrong to worry that a Roman Catholic should never be elected president, or so many today still seem so shocked that a black man could be elected to that office. They are wrong for the same reason “miscegenation” was illegal in sixteen U.S. states in 1967. They are wrong for the same reason George Wallace was wrong to cry “segregation forever” in reaction to the emerging civil rights movement.

They’re wrong because a nation — particularly the United States — is not defined by genetics. A nation is intersubjective. It is the perception, by the people in it, that they share a common community, even if they will never meet most of the other members of that community. They may reach that conclusion on the basis of a common ethnic group, or language, or history. It may be a community because of a common set of principles. It is an “imagined community.”

Nations are inventions. Political scientists differ on precisely when the nation was invented. Some go as far back as the segregation of students by language in the fourteenth-century medieval university. Some push it back even a few decades earlier, to the declaration by the Scots that they were a unique people, in opposition to an invasion from England. Or perhaps it was around 1600, which has been suggested as the time of origin of “the first nation,” England.

Some nations rest their sense of a common community in a belief in a common ethnic identity. An example of an “ethnic nation” is Germany. Germans have recognized themselves as one people, even when they were divided into multiple countries. Despite the walls and armed soldiers separating East and West Germany, when the wall came down they merged with (relative) ease. They had always thought of themselves as “German,” even when divided by very different governments and economic systems. Others have a “civic nation.” France is in this category. While they do have linguistic commonalities, the thing that makes its people “French” is the perceived project of living with one another.

In 1776, the United States was not a “nation.” Not on either dimension. It had several ethnic groups, including Englishmen and Dutch and Germans and French. The colonies were working against a common foe, but they were not a single entity. After the Revolution they codified that relationship in the Articles of Confederation, which was a “league of friendship” among independent and sovereign states similar in many ways to the earliest stages of the European Communities. It didn’t work, often because of the inability of the Confederation to function as a unit in international relations. But after the creation of a Constitutional Republic, including a Bill of Rights, it made sense to say that “We the People” were “Americans.” George Washington, in his Farewell Address, reminded people that “ [t]he name of american, which belongs to you, in your national capacity, must always exalt the just pride of Patriotism, more than any appellation derived from local discriminations.”

And what are those common political principles that make us a nation? In fact the Constitution didn’t affirm many of the principles we hold today. We could not in good conscience say “we hold these Truths to be self-evident, that all Men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty, and the pursuit of Happiness” and accept the ownership of some men by others. Lincoln privately rejected the positions of the “know-nothings”:
I am not a Know-Nothing — that is certain. How could I be? How can any one who abhors the oppression of negroes, be in favor of degrading classes of white people? Our progress in degeneracy appears to me to be pretty rapid. As a nation, we began by declaring that “all men are created equal.” We now practically read it “all men are created equal, except negroes.” When the Know-Nothings get control, it will read “all men are created equals, except negroes and foreigners and Catholics.” When it comes to that I should prefer emigrating to some country where they make no pretense of loving liberty — to Russia, for instance, where despotism can be taken pure, and without the base alloy of hypocrisy.
But what does it mean in practice? Lincoln answered that question in his Gettysburg Address:
It is for us the living, rather, to be dedicated here to the unfinished work which they who fought here have thus far so nobly advanced. It is rather for us to be here dedicated to the great task remaining before us — that from these honored dead we take increased devotion to that cause for which they gave the last full measure of devotion — that we here highly resolve that these dead shall not have died in vain — that this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom — and that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth.
The people — all the people, regardless of sex or race or religion or ethnicity. It’s an ongoing project. Progress can be reversed — as it has been by Donald Trump and many of those who are enabling him. But it can also be advanced — as it was after FDR’s “Four Freedoms” speech, which outlined why the US was about to engage in World War II, and which provided the framework of the best of American postwar foreign policy:
In the future days, which we seek to make secure, we look forward to a world founded upon four essential human freedoms.
The first is freedom of speech and expression — everywhere in the world.
The second is freedom of every person to worship God in his own way — everywhere in the world.
The third is freedom from want — which, translated into world terms, means economic understandings which will secure to every nation a healthy peacetime life for its inhabitants — everywhere in the world.
The fourth is freedom from fear — which, translated into world terms, means a world-wide reduction of armaments to such a point and in such a thorough fashion that no nation will be in a position to commit an act of physical aggression against any neighbor — anywhere in the world.
These principles do not apply to just the people who live within the borders of the United States. But we do not have the power, or the right, to impose a particular political culture upon the rest of the world. The most we can do is provide an example, to facilitate the practice of others, and show that we can live according to these ideas.

This is what it means to be an American. It is not about our minor differences. It is our commitment to protect the rights of each of us, so long as the actions we take do not directly interfere with the rights of any of us to do the same. America is not a place, and you can’t protect it by putting a wall around it. America is not an ethnic nation, and there is no blood test to determine who belongs and who doesn’t. America is an idea. That’s what’s great about it. That’s its greatest advantage in competition against China or Japan or Germany or Russia. That’s what allows us to take the best of innovations and ideas and cultures from around the world, and make them ours. If we sacrifice that, we not only don’t deserve to survive — we’re already gone.

So who should vote? The people who want to restrict voting rights are only half right. Americans should vote: people who have demonstrated they know why this county exists and are pledged to live under the rule of law. Someone who lives by these principles is an American, regardless of their appearance or unimportant cultural differences. On the other hand, people who, for example, venerate the flag of the Confederacy — the stars and bars of a collection of traitors and slaveholders — may not in fact be American, regardless of where they were born or what they look like. People who insist America must be white have no idea of what America is, and if they insist on imposing their ideas they have no right to consider themselves American.
Note that by this standard a Spanish-speaking “illegal” immigrant may be more of an American than a Christian nationalist practicing with his militia buddies in Idaho to “cleanse” the country of those who don’t look or act like him.

But people shouldn’t be expelled for having the wrong opinions. It is only fair that everyone should be exposed to a civic education that helps people to be citizens, and everyone should have the opportunity to demonstrate they have a basic understanding of American values before they can enter a voting machine, just as they have to demonstrate they understand the traffic laws before they are allowed behind the wheel of a car. Everyone has a right to a civic education and anyone who votes should have an opportunity to demonstrate what they know by passing a citizenship exam. Anything that can be done by a Somali immigrant should be easy for an car salesman in Omaha, right?

The citizenship test is easy. Too easy, some defenders of American culture might claim. But leave that criticism aside for now. As a practical matter, what sorts of things do you need to know? Here are some questions from a recent citizenship exam. Any immigrant who wishes to be a legal citizen of the United States should be able to answer questions like these: six out of ten, selected from a set of 100 that the potential citizen is provided to study prior to the exam:
The idea of self-government is in the first three words of the Constitution. What are these words?
What do we call the first ten amendments to the Constitution?
How many amendments does the Constitution have?
What did the Declaration of Independence do?
What are two rights in the Declaration of Independence?
What is the “rule of law”?
Name one branch or part of the government.
What stops one branch of government from becoming too powerful?
How many U.S. Senators are there?
Who is one of your state’s U.S. Senators now?
The House of Representatives has how many voting members?
Name your U.S. Representative.
What is the name of the Vice President of the United States now?
If both the President and the Vice President can no longer serve, who becomes President?
What are two Cabinet-level positions?
Who is the Chief Justice of the United States now?
Under our Constitution, some powers belong to the states. What is one power of the states?
What is the capital of your state?
What is the name of the Speaker of the House of Representatives now?
What are two rights of everyone living in the United States?
What are two ways that Americans can participate in their democracy?
What group of people was taken to America and sold as slaves?
There were 13 original states. Name three.
When was the Constitution written?
The Federalist Papers supported the passage of the U.S. Constitution. Name one of the writers.
What territory did the United States buy from France in 1803?
Name one war fought by the United States in the 1800s.
What did Susan B. Anthony do?
Who was President during World War I?
Who did the United States fight in World War II?
What did Martin Luther King, Jr. do?
Name one American Indian tribe in the United States.
Name one of the two longest rivers in the United States.
What ocean is on the West Coast of the United States?
Name one U.S. territory.
Name one state that borders Canada.
Why does the flag have 13 stripes?
Name two national U.S. holidays.
Not too hard, was it? It shouldn’t be. If there are any you don’t know now, you can look up the answers in an afternoon on Wikipedia and memorize them. Many of those questions have more than one acceptable answer. You only need one for each.

But an amazing number of Americans can’t provide answers to enough of those questions to pass the six out of ten required for a citizenship exam. A lot of people need to brush up on what they learned as kids. A lot of people have to learn it for the first time. But that’s ok. If you live in this country, you have the right to take the exam again, and again, to have the right to vote. It’s no more onerous a requirement than passing a written test to get a permit to drive.

So that’s my modest proposal: to vote in an American election you have to demonstrate that you have a basic understanding of how America works, and why.

Whadda you think?

I hope this will be the first in a series of “modest proposal” essays. on Medium. It’s not my intent to argue for one party or another, one candidate or another, one policy or another. I’m looking for general reforms of the system that will allow it to work better for everyone. I want to suggest alternatives. Some of them may require amending the Constitution, but that’s all right. The people who wrote the Constitution realized it was an imperfect document. They knew it was the product of a particular place and time, and they knew they couldn’t anticipate how it would have to change to meet the needs of the 21st century and beyond, so they left mechanisms to change it. This includes methods to change the amendment process itself. We now have more than two centuries of research in political economy. We have a better understanding of what kinds of results we can expect from various voting schemes. We can compare the American experience to the successes and failures of approaches tried around the world. We can better see what preserves liberty, and what threatens it.

Thomas Jefferson said it better than I could:
I am not an advocate for frequent changes in laws and Constitutions. But laws and institutions must go hand in hand with the progress of the human mind. As that becomes more developed, more enlightened, as new discoveries are made, new truths discovered and manners and opinions change, with the change of circumstances, institutions must advance also to keep pace with the times. We might as well require a man to wear still the coat which fitted him when a boy as civilized society to remain ever under the regimen of their barbarous ancestors.
Once you identify some of the underlying issues a range of solutions can be fairly obvious. One problem is the political class — any political class — will resist changes that undermine their self-interests for the good of the whole. So, the people must take the lead to institute changes that will limit the politicians’ freedom of action, including the institutions that allow those politicians to maintain their positions. One way to do so would be to end the practice of gerymandering. Another would be to divide some of the more populous states into smaller units, to better balance against the power of the states that are large in territory but small in population. There are practical ways to reform or eliminate the electoral college. It would be a fine, and doable, project to finally ratify the first ammendment of the Bill of Rights, the real first ammendment that was proposed in the original twelve, but has since been buried in history.

But those are Modest Proposals for another time.

18 April, 2019

Mueller Report

Still browsing the Mueller report. A few tentative conclusions:

(1) Mueller and his group were very professional, and thorough;
(2) The report _would_ have drawn conclusions, but the Office of Legal Council prohibits him from inditing a sitting president. It said that if the weight of the evidence exonerated the president on any charge, they would have said so. They didn't. The best other option was to say they couldn't clear him, they've accumulated significant evidence, and it's up to other people (read: Congress, or other investigators) to take the next step;
(3) The Russian operation to undermine and interfere with the election of 2016 was originally to (a) sow confusion, divide Americans, and wreck American democracy, and (b) keep Hillary Clinton out of the White House. This began long before Trump declared himself a candidate;
(4) The Russians quickly recognized that there was no better disruptor, and no greater threat to American democracy, than Donald J. Trump. They quickly shifted the majority of their support to him;
(5) Trump and people in his circle (including, but not limited to, the official campaign), had long-standing communications and connections to people in the Russian state (both the government and the Oligarchs). Russia saw Trump as someone they could work with for mutual benefit;
(6) There is not sufficient evidence to charge criminal conspiracy in this matter. There didn't _need_ to be a criminal agreement. Russia was doing what it did for its own reasons, the Trump campaign was aware of it, and Trump's people (especially Manafort) were providing information to help them do it.
(7) Manafort was already involved as an agent of Russia for years prior to the Trump campaign. His job, in part, was to install leaders in Western countries who would serve Russian interests. Getting Trump elected was part of his job even before he joined the campaign;
(8) The president actively tried to block the Mueller investigation. He was blocked at several points by his own people. He succeeded occasionally. Either way, he committed several acts of obstruction of justice. Since the OLC prohibits indictments of a sitting president, he passed the evidence to people to do whatever they chose to do next.


A few speculations:
(1) The House can start impeachment proceedings. At the very least, they can open and expand multiple investigations;
(2) If the House has a vote, they will likely impeach the president. It's a political question;
(3) Making it an official impeachment proceeding would probably make it easier to get desired evidence, but once they get the evidence the House may choose not to impeach if they don't want the trial in an election year;
(4) There are no known "tapes" or "smoking guns" to force Republicans to abandon the president. Without that, and with the role of Trumpanistias in the Republican Party, it's unlikely that Trump will be be convicted in the Senate. If there is a major shift in the Senate after the 2020 Senate, but Trump is re-elected, the vote might go the other way.
(5) Whether or not Trump is impeached, he is vulnerable in other ways. He is already an unindicted co-conspirator in one Federal proceeding, and is vulnerable to indictment at the State level today and the Federal level after he leaves office.
(6) Eventually, Trump will be in court. Once there, he will lose. While he may or may not be removed from office, it increasingly looks like

 
Actually, I don't expect him to die in prison. Manafort will (and deservedly so). Trump will suffer some punishment--loss of properties, perhaps some loss of freedom--but (if he isn't pardoned in the interest of ending the agony) he'll eventually be out. Much as I'd like to see him without money, and without any hope of getting a loan, it's likely he will still have fans stupid and numerous enough to keep enough of the cash flowing to allow him to live in upper-class prosperity. And he'll find someone to ghost-write his version of events. But compared to where he's been, and where he's claimed to be, he'll be just another "loser." He'll find it hard to cope with that, so he'll probably do his best to ignore it. Given his talent for seeing only what he wants to see, plus his age, he may spend his declining years pretending to be "the president," surrounded by a staff that encourages that illusion.

Not that different than today.

04 March, 2013

Too Big for Bonuses

English: Wall Street sign on Wall Street
English: Wall Street sign on Wall Street (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
"Michael," of "Bankers Anonymous," does a very nice job of taking apart the argument in favor of large bonuses for Wall Street bankers.  As he points out, it makes perfect sense to have a system of bonuses regularly in excess of annual salaries in a business noted for risk, with a premium on rewarding the very best and brightest. Accept the assumptions, and the conclusions follow.

BUT..and you knew this was coming, didn't you?...when dealing with "Too Big to Fail" banks THE ASSUMPTIONS ARE NOT TRUE.  Risk is minimized and underwritten by the public underwriting of losses for megabanks.  Much as Freddie Mac and Sallie Mae were (are) ostensibly "private" institutions, set up by government, supported by government, guaranteed (formally or informally) by government, the superbanks have grown (with the regulatory and policy collusion of government) to the point that they are, in fact, not private in most important ways.

"Michael" puts it better than I:
...As long as you know the government’s got your back, you’re not really private. 
If you’re Too-Big-To-Fail, you’re Amtrak in my book.  None of you should get more than a few hundred thousand annually.  And that’s being generous. 
Now, before you accuse me of being a Communist, or a Wall Street hater, let me clarify. 
I love private enterprise. 
I applaud successful hedge fund managers, for example, and I do not begrudge their extraordinary compensation, provided they follow the rules and manage capital for willing investors. 
One of the keys to my applause, however, is my belief that any of those hedge funds could disappear tomorrow, as a result of a bad bet, misplaced customer funds, or a faulty computer algorithm, and no government entity will step up to save their bacon. 
I long for the day when the employees of Wall Street banks can reap legitimate profits, if they deserve it, or similarly disappear without a whimper, if they deserve it. 
If the Too-Big-To-Fail banks managed to break themselves into systemically irrelevant parts, I would have no problem with their executives paying themselves massive bonuses in good years.  They’d have earned it. 
But until that day, when they’re finally Too-Small-For-Bailouts, please don’t pretend that they’re anything more than a big NASA – a bunch of smart people in a big room full of flat screens, filling an important government-subsidized mission – working on the taxpayer’s dime.
Logically, you can't have it both ways. If the banks (or any other entity) are so important they function as a public utility--and that's essentially the justification for the bailout--they need to be regulated as a public utility, and their jobs need to be compensated in a way and to a degree similar to those of any other public utility.

Are Banker Bonuses Fair? - Business Insider

28 August, 2012

Follow the money

It's a mistake to think that one can simply buy an election.  Money is important in a system where access to media can be so expensive, but in itself it isn't enough.  What the money trail can show, however, is where the people investing their cash think their interests lie.  It can also show us how many people are willing to put their money on the line, and by looking at the percentage of their resources invested we can get some idea of the strength of their feelings.  With that in mind, compare the organizations and their members associated with three major candidates for president in 2012:

Also note that a government agency can't invest in a political campaign.  That means that Paul's money came not from the organizations directly, but from the troops and civilians whose lives are most directly on the line when it comes to issues of war and peace.  These are also the people who have the least money to contribute.  When considered as a percentage of their wealth the pattern is even more remarkable.

A realist critique of Romney's foreign policy

27 June, 2012

Altruism and deterrence

Alice Krige as the Borg Queen in First Contact
Alice Krige as the Borg Queen in First Contact (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
I'm talking to some people about getting involved in an institute exploring global catastrophic risk.  What they do fits in with the textbook (still in progress), and with my next conference paper (working title: "Captain America Meets the Borg").

An interesting question came up regarding the promotion of altruism and deterrence as strategies to reduce global risk.  I hope they don't mind if I recycle some of my comments here.  I suspect my approach may be a little different than most, although to me it seems natural.  In fact, I'd characterize it as, in many ways, classically liberal.  I think James Madison in particular would approve.


I hate to admit it, but I’m something of a cynic on many of these issues.  Promoting altruism is a good thing in general, but I’d rather find a way to take advantage of selfishness, using personal payoffs to result in public goods.  For one thing, in a system where strong altruism is the norm, a selfish minority (if not so large that it is more advantageous to prey on one another instead of on the altruistic minority) has some structural advantages.  There’s a reason why some of the most successful people are clinical sociopaths: sane people are at a disadvantage when competing in stock markets, or as generals, or in presidential elections.  People who empathize too much hesitate and lose. 

(This is not to say you can’t have sane and caring success stories in these kinds of competitive areas, but they require special circumstances and/or compensatory talents.)

So the trick, much as Montesquieu observed, is to take advantage of those rare moments and set up a system where the predators are so busy contending with one another that they need to constantly curry the favor of the majority in order to  succeed, and where it is in the interest of most of the sociopaths to tolerate the long-term empowerment of the majority.

Of course, we might want to get rid of the sociopaths completely.  But sociopathology isn’t either/or.  It’s a continuum, and whoever is sitting in the long tail (whether Genghis Kahn or Bernie Madoff) is still in an advantageous position.  Besides, there will always be “mutations.”  And worst of all, since power accumulates around the sociopaths they are, in the long run, the ones who will be doing and implementing most of the designing.  The regulators get co-opted.  It’s built into the structure of the game.

Deterrence has a better chance.  Although there’s still the chance of suicidal decision-makers, one of the useful things about sociopathology is that people who value nothing over their own lives and profit can be risk adverse—if they can accurately calculate the probability and penalties for failure.  Thus one of the things we can do is increase transparency to the point that they can’t delude themselves that they are untouchable, and another is to encourage a balance of power in which those who can do harm are also subject to the greatest risk of retaliation.

So I guess I have more faith in selfishness than in altruism, IF the selfishness is enlightened self-interest, in a system where the desire for personal gain leads to the provision of public goods, and transparency is great enough, and the most potentially dangerous members of the group have the most to lose from actions that threaten the system as a whole.

Meanwhile, fragment power and disperse populations and encourage local resilience--because there will always be disasters and we need to plan to rebuild when they occur—while not allowing those preparations to encourage overconfidence and the “moral hazard” phenomenon. 


To steal a line from Robert Gilpin, I guess I'm a liberal living in a realist universe.  I'd like to rely on the goodness of man, but it seems to me the track record (and the structure of the system) makes that a sucker bet--especially when there can be so many lives on the line.  Better to encourage a system that can encourage and profit from the better elements of our nature, but doesn't rely on them so much that it can't survive disappointment.  





07 June, 2012

Dumb and dumber

In case you missed it, Congress has been growing more stupid over the years, if we are to go by the quality of their speeches.  Here's a graph of the grade level of Congressional utterances, plotted by time and Party:
For particular Congresspersons, your mileage may vary.  And while there seems to be a precipitous drop for the Republicans, nobody comes out looking very good.
Rep. Mick Mulvaney, a Republican from South Carolina, speaks at the lowest grade level, registering just less than an eighth-grade level. Rep. Dan Lungren, a Republican from California, speaks at the highest level — about a 16th-grade level.  
Here are some notables: Rand Paul is among the lowest 20 members of Congress, at just above an eighth-grade level. Nancy Pelosi speaks around the average of an 11.5 level. House Speaker John Boehner is 12.6, Marco Rubio is a 9.4, and Rob Portman is at an 11th-grade level. Finally, Harry Reid is at about a 9.75 grade level. 
In the good news, maybe the rise from 2011 to 2012 is the beginning of a trend.  I wouldn't bet on it, though.

So what's going on?  Are politicians reaching out to an increasingly ill-prepared electorate?  Is it the influx of new members?  It looks like 2006 was a critical year.

Congress Is Getting Dumber And Dumber - Business Insider

25 May, 2012

A small step

So far, so good.  Egyptians are voting, and it still takes place in the shadow of the military and the Mubarak constitution, yet it seems that irregularities are at a minimum. Nightwatch puts it in perspective:
The bottom line is that for the first time in 7,000 years, Egyptians voted for their head of state and will not know who it is until the votes are counted. This was a genuine choice and the first time that the identity of the country's leader will have been determined by a popular vote, hopefully, and not by not heredity, accidental death,military coup d'etat or military manipulation.
It ain't a liberal democracy.  It may even be an end to the overinflated hopes of the "revolution".   But for Egypt it's a step to something new.
Update (29 May):  It looks like it's less rosy than it first appeared.  The runoff will be between the former prime minister and the official candidate of the Muslim Brotherhood.  I suspect Prime Minist Shafiq is there, in part, due to voter fraud, coupled with fratricide among the other candidates.  Seven protests have been filed, but four have been rejected for technical reasons and the others are from the fringe candidates.  More important, perhaps, more than half of the potential voters in Egypt don't seem to have voted at all.  Compare that to the first real election after the fall of Saddam, where people stood in line for hours and 62 percent of registered voters participated in selecting the Council of Representatives.  When a "revolution for democracy" is followed by a first presidential election in which half the voters don't bother to show up, that's an indication that the revolution has a pretty narrow base of support.






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13 March, 2012

Yet another case of overreaction

The governor of Virginia recently signed legislation which required an ultrasound--in almost all cases by vaginal probe (although the text of the legislation is careful to obscure that)--for any woman who has a abortion.  This is in spite of her desires, or those of her doctor.  Whatever you think of abortion, this is a clear violation of any principle of self-ownership.  So I suppose we shouldn't be surprised when (a) people protested, and (b) a state which has no regard for people in any case called out the storm troopers.
At least it made for some visuals, courtesy of http://militantlibertarian.org and Style Weekly.

 
Now all they need is a tank.
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06 March, 2012

Anonymous strikes again

Anonymous disrupted the website of the Greek Ministry of Justice late last month.

The message, in greek (of course) is supposed to read something like this (and note that I've taken some liberties to make the translation flow better):


Citizens of Greece
     We are Anonymous.
     
We watch every day as your government abolishes the constitution and institutions of the country.
     
We see them leading you closer and closer to poverty.
     
We see them pass laws that deprive you of any right to dignity.
     
We see them deliver the country to the IMF and the bankers.
     
We know about the soup kitchens in schools,
     
for people who are left jobless and now wait in queues for a plate of food.
     
We know that your country voted for ACTA in your effort to silence other Greeks.
     
We know everything ...
     
The Republic in Greece has died.
     
It died with a government that has not been elected by the people.
     
And for this reason the time for discussion came and went.
     
Not negotiating anything with any of those who murdered it.
     
You can hunt as you like, you can even capture some of us,
     But w
hen you attempt to silence us ...
     F
or every one that will you capture 3 others will spring up. Five or ten or a hundred.
     
Now the Greeks are all Anonymous.
     We are millions against you and the 300.  In this war tear gas will not help you.
     To the Occupying Government of Greece
     
These days is going to vote for a bill that will be the last nail in the coffin of Greece.
     
A bill to return the country to a totalitarian rule.
     
To bring the country and its people in absolute poverty.
     
We will not allow more misery to the Greek people.
     
We demand your resignation immediately, and elections.
     
We demand that not a cent be paid to your moneylender 'friends.'
     
We demand the immediate withdrawal of the IMF from Greece.
     
Justice Department, this is only a small sample of what we're capable of doing.
     Y
ou have not seen the full wrath of Anonymous.
     
For each article of a bill that would shame the vote,
     
we will shut down the system and delete the Internal Revenue debts of Greek citizens.
     
Debts which requires them to pay the fascists.
     
The demonstrations of the Greeks have had their encounter with incredible violence,
     
anexelekta hitting, but the internet is our field. And we love this war.

     We are many and we will be swift.
     Citizens of Greece, Anonymous is now fighting on your side ... 
     Government of Greece, let us wait ...

     E X P E C T  U S !
     J U S T I C E  I S  C O M I N G !

The Greek police announced the arrest of three teenagers for the hack.  But the meme goes on--Anonymous has brought down the MoJ website with a DDoS attack, in retribution for the arrests.
In other news, several members of LulzSec, the group that left Anonymous to follow its own agenda--including the recent hack of Stratfor--have been arrested.  It seems that the FBI was able to get one leader to turn on his buddies.  The organization may be crippled.  That is what happens when you start moving from leaderless resistance to a collection of leaders and followers.


27 January, 2012

It's for your own good

Department of Homeland Security
Image by DonkeyHotey via Flickr
Yeah, right.

A recent Freedom of Information  Act suit by the Electronic Privacy Information Center reveals some of the fun the Department of Homeland Security has been having in the name of "protecting" us--or whoever they think they're protecting.  According to the findings

...the DHS has hired and instructed General Dynamics to monitor political dissent and the dissenters. The range of websites listed as being monitored is quite impressive...
***
Some of the more high profile and highly trafficked sites being monitored include the comments sections of The New York Times, The Los Angeles Times, Newsweek, the Huffington Post, the Drudge Report, Wired, and ABC News. In addition, social networking sites Facebook, MySpace and Twitter are being monitored. For the first time, the public not only has an idea who the DHS is pursuing with their surveillance and where, but what they are looking for as well. General Dynamics contract requires them to “[identify] media reports that reflect adversely on the U.S. Government, DHS, or prevent, protect, respond government activities.” The DHS also instructed General Dynamics to generate “reports on DHS, Components, and other Federal Agencies: positive and negative reports on FEMA, CIA, CBP, ICE, etc. as well as organizations outside the DHS.” In other words, the DHS wants to know who you are if you say anything critical about the government.
You better watch out, you better not cry.  They know when you've been sleeping, they know when you're awake.  They know if you've been "bad" or "good" (by their definition), so be good for goodness sake.



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